Corellano vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SJU
2 - 0
CDC
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 0
LOU
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
CDC
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 1
BET
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FON
1 - 2
CDC
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CDB
0 - 0
PEÑ
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UDM
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CDA
0 - 1
PEÑ
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
MUR
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |