Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-1
Corellano vs Cantolagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
GIM
4 - 0
CDC
74%
17%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CDC
0 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CAY
1 - 0
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CDC
1 - 3
CHA
49%
27%
25%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
HAR
3 - 0
CDC
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cantolagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
BÉJ
2 - 1
CAN
47%
28%
25%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CAN
1 - 0
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CAN
3 - 1
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ACF
0 - 0
CAN
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |