Conxo Santiago Sub 16 vs UD Ourense Sub 16 analysis


8	ELO	6
1.4%	Tilt	-2.4%
12927º	General ELO ranking	12714º
5224º	Country ELO ranking	5073º
ELO win probability

48.1%

Conxo Santiago Sub 16

21.1%

Draw

30.8%

UD Ourense Sub 16

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

48.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%

21.1%

Draw

0-0

2.5%

1-1

8.3%

2-2

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.6%

5-5

0.1%

21.1%

30.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%