Contestano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
4 - 0
CTS
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CTS
2 - 3
UEM
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
CTS
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CTS
1 - 1
UDC
45%
23%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CTS
1 - 1
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEG
2 - 1
PRO
20%
25%
55%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FON
3 - 0
PEG
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEG
1 - 1
SIA
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
PEG
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
PEG
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |