Colón FC vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TEC
2 - 0
COL
69%
21%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
OLM
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LDU
2 - 0
COL
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 0
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
IMB
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
IMB
1 - 2
AUC
26%
28%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
3 - 2
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 2
AUC
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 0
LDU
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |