DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19 vs Burgos UD Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
15º
8º
18
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DiocesÁvila - UCAV U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
COL
23%
23%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COL
4 - 2
SAL
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
REA
2 - 2
COL
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
UDS
49%
24%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 3
COL
54%
22%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos UD Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 5
VIC
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 0
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 1
BUD
69%
16%
14%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 3
REA
9%
15%
76%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UDS
2 - 1
BUD
73%
15%
12%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |