CD Manchego Ciudad Real vs UD Yugo Socuéllamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
17º
3º
1
8º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
4 | 68 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 64 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 61 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 59 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 55 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
54.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VRU
2 - 0
CDC
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
CSP
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
CDC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
AVI
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
YEC
0 - 1
CDC
64%
23%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UD Yugo Socuéllamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UDS
2 - 2
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UDS
2 - 1
CVI
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 1
RMA
27%
25%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 2
QRE
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDS
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |