Chivas USA vs Toronto FC analysis


71	ELO	74
-0.9%	Tilt	9.7%
13331º	General ELO ranking	559º
72º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

41.5%

Chivas USA

27.5%

Draw

31%

Toronto FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

41.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%

27.5%

Draw

0-0

9.1%

1-1

13%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.5%

31%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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Matches