Chivas USA vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 5
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
RSL
2 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GAL
5 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
SJE
25%
27%
49%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
HOD
5 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
RBN
5 - 2
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CFS
1 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 3
CFS
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DCU
0 - 3
CFS
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CFS
2 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |