Chivas USA vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
RBN
5 - 4
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
NER
3 - 1
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 0
RBN
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 2
GAL
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
DCU
2 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
HOD
0 - 1
CFS
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
RBN
1 - 1
CFS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
KCW
1 - 1
CFS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NER
1 - 2
CFS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
COC
1 - 1
CFS
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |