CD Chilpancingo vs Deportiva Venados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
11º
11º
17
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDC
14%
18%
68%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
CDC
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZIT
0 - 0
CDC
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAZ
2 - 2
CDC
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 0
PDC
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
DEV
16%
19%
66%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 1
TCS
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
DEV
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
IPC
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |