CD Chilpancingo vs San Juan de Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
10º
3º
3
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 23 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 20 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 20 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 18 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 17 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 14 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 11 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 8 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 8 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
32% | 0.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
24% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
6 - 1
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 0
ZIT
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
2 - 0
CDC
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
San Juan de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DEV
3 - 0
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 6
AFC
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
CAS
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
JAG
18%
25%
57%
|
22 | 76 | 54 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CFT
4 - 1
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |