CD Chilpancingo vs Acatlan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+301%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
3º
10º
5º
5
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
82% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZIT
0 - 0
CDC
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAZ
2 - 2
CDC
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 2
CAA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 3
CDC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Acatlan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
DEV
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
AFC
78%
15%
8%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |