Cerezo vs Condado de Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
CER
52%
20%
28%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CER
1 - 3
CAP
17%
19%
64%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 1
CER
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CER
2 - 3
GRO
10%
17%
74%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
CER
63%
20%
17%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Condado de Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
VIL
21%
20%
60%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDC
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 3
CDR
23%
20%
58%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDC
70%
17%
13%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 3
MON
48%
20%
32%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |