Centenario vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
TIE
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 0
AZU
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMI
13%
21%
67%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
NYC
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 2
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GEM
0 - 0
VER
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
GEM
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 0
GEM
20%
21%
59%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 0
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEM
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |