Castroviejo vs Norma San Leonardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-98%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PIQ
1 - 2
CAS
32%
23%
46%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
ABE
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
QUI
60%
21%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
COV
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Norma San Leonardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 4
GOL
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIS
1 - 1
NOR
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
5 - 0
SJE
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 3
NOR
40%
21%
39%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |