Castroverde vs Union club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
+165%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 8
CAS
39%
21%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VLE
2 - 1
CAS
47%
21%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GNZ
1 - 5
CAS
56%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
RIO
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MER
5 - 1
CAS
31%
21%
48%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Union club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
MDC
22%
19%
60%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAM
9%
15%
76%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BUE
2 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
ADC
44%
22%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
RIO
32%
22%
47%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |