CD Castro vs UD Pastoricense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PON
0 - 2
CDC
6%
13%
80%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
CDC
8%
15%
78%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
AES
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 3
CDC
6%
14%
80%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
UD Pastoricense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
ANT
29%
24%
48%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
4 - 0
PAS
48%
24%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 3
TAB
23%
24%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 1
PON
43%
24%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
6 - 1
PAS
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |