CD Castro vs SDC Residencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
CDC
49%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
CDC
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
BOI
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 2
EUM
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RIB
3 - 1
CDC
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SDC Residencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SDC
1 - 4
BOI
14%
21%
65%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SDC
1 - 1
RIB
29%
24%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SDC
1 - 1
SIG
20%
23%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 1
SDC
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 4
SOF
27%
24%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |