CD Castro vs San Tirso SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 4
CDC
30%
23%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 2
LEM
46%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SDC
2 - 0
CDC
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 2
CDL
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 1
ATM
69%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Tirso SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOI
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EUM
1 - 2
SAN
36%
23%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 1
RIB
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SIG
1 - 0
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GAL
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |