CD Castro vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 0
CDC
36%
24%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 3
MIN
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
CDC
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 3
DUB
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 0
CDC
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOI
3 - 0
BOI
48%
24%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EUM
2 - 3
NOI
11%
19%
69%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NOI
4 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SIG
3 - 3
NOI
29%
26%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NOI
2 - 1
GAL
78%
15%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |