CD Castro vs CD Foz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 2
CDC
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
OUT
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
EUM
2 - 3
CDC
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
RIB
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIG
2 - 1
CDC
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Foz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FOZ
2 - 0
XOV
44%
22%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAB
3 - 1
FOZ
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 3
FOZ
43%
23%
33%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOZ
4 - 0
MON
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
FOZ
22%
23%
55%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |