CD Castro vs Barbadás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 0
CDC
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 2
CER
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
CDC
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 1
BOU
25%
24%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
CDC
47%
25%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALO
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
RIB
48%
25%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
RCV
37%
28%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |