CD Castro vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
7 - 1
CDC
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
0 - 1
SIL
48%
25%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BER
3 - 0
CDC
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 1
COM
13%
23%
64%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +4 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DUB
2 - 2
CDC
46%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 1
ALO
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 2
ARO
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
RIB
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
ARO
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
BAR
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |