CD Castellón vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
DEP
7 - 0
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
RCF
3 - 0
CAS
48%
21%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1948 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
VAL
1 - 4
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
CAS
3 - 0
BAD
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
VAD
5 - 3
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
VAL
8 - 3
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
VAD
7 - 2
BAD
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
MAL
2 - 0
VAD
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
VAD
2 - 2
HER
44%
21%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |