Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-6
CD Castellón vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
CAS
1 - 0
OSA
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
PUE
0 - 2
CAS
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
GDE
0 - 1
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
CAS
2 - 1
GAV
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
PAT
1 - 4
VAL
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 0
YEC
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
POR
1 - 2
VAL
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
CON
0 - 0
VAL
66%
24%
10%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |