CD Castellón vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
CAS
0 - 2
FCB
22%
20%
58%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
RMA
0 - 0
CAS
87%
8%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
CAS
3 - 2
GRA
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
SEV
4 - 1
CAS
85%
9%
6%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ZAR
1 - 0
BET
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
ZAR
0 - 0
VCF
27%
22%
51%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
DEP
3 - 1
ZAR
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
31%
22%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |