Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 8-7
CD Castellón vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
OVI
4 - 1
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
CAS
0 - 2
ATM
33%
24%
44%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
VCF
3 - 0
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
CAS
4 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
SEV
4 - 2
CAS
78%
13%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
RSO
2 - 1
MLL
61%
19%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
BET
0 - 3
RSO
40%
23%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
RSO
1 - 1
RAC
57%
19%
25%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
RSO
1 - 2
ALC
50%
22%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1947 |
RSO
1 - 1
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |