CD Castellón vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
LIN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
IBI
2 - 0
CAS
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
ATB
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
CAS
17%
26%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
OVI
2 - 0
ESP
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 1
OVI
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
OVI
2 - 1
EIB
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
OVI
1 - 1
CAR
60%
25%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
ZAR
0 - 0
OVI
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |