CD Castellón vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 2
CAS
23%
30%
48%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
HER
48%
27%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
PRA
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LEV
0 - 2
CAS
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
REC
0 - 0
MUR
46%
28%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
MAR
30%
30%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
BAL
38%
28%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
MUR
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 2
SAN
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |