CD Castellón vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CAS
3 - 0
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
REC
1 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
XER
1 - 1
CAS
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
CAS
3 - 2
VAL
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
RJA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
4 - 0
MLL
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
CAD
1 - 0
MUR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |