CD Castellón vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
HER
2 - 1
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
PON
4 - 1
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
CAS
0 - 4
PUL
29%
25%
47%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
CAS
3 - 0
PON
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDL
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 0
SAB
51%
23%
27%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
VAL
3 - 0
MUR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
MUR
4 - 2
CCF
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1960 |
SAB
1 - 0
MUR
74%
15%
11%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |