CD Castellón vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 0
CAS
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
CAS
3 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SAB
1 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1945 |
CAS
3 - 1
RAC
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
RMA
6 - 2
GRA
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
FCB
5 - 0
RMA
63%
19%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SEV
1 - 2
RMA
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |