CD Castellón vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAS
53%
20%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEV
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ATH
4 - 0
CAS
81%
11%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 0
OVI
40%
21%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
CAS
2 - 1
ESP
37%
22%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
RMA
3 - 1
BET
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ZAR
0 - 2
RMA
33%
24%
44%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
RMA
4 - 3
DEP
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
FCB
5 - 5
RMA
54%
21%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
RMA
0 - 1
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |