Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 7-2
CD Castellón vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CAS
1 - 2
LEV
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
OVI
3 - 2
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
CAS
0 - 0
DEP
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CCF
2 - 4
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
CAS
3 - 0
GIM
68%
22%
10%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CAR
3 - 2
TAL
60%
25%
16%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CFP
3 - 0
CAR
59%
26%
16%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
CAR
1 - 0
OSA
35%
32%
34%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
CFP
2 - 1
CAR
58%
26%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
CAR
3 - 0
RUN
53%
27%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |