Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 2-1
CD Castellón vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UTI
0 - 2
CAS
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAG
50%
26%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 0
CAS
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALZ
1 - 3
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 1
NUC
51%
26%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 0
PUE
34%
28%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 3
VRU
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 0
CAS
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
4 - 1
PUE
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -3 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 0
PED
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |