Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
CD Castellón vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
PXD
0 - 1
CAS
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
GIM
1 - 1
CAS
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
CAS
0 - 0
FIG
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
BEN
0 - 4
CAS
32%
31%
38%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
CAS
2 - 0
ONT
74%
18%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
PXD
0 - 1
CAS
23%
29%
48%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
PXD
0 - 0
GIM
22%
31%
47%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
YEC
2 - 1
PXD
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
ALC
3 - 2
PXD
80%
14%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
PXD
1 - 1
FCA
26%
30%
44%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |