CD Castellón vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
SIL
78%
15%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 3
CAS
15%
22%
63%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
TOR
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
ELD
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 0
NOV
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
ROD
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
CRE
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |