Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-2
CD Castellón vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
OND
1 - 2
CAS
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCB
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
RCD
3 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CEM
1 - 0
CAS
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
UBC
1 - 1
NOV
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
NOV
3 - 3
SAB
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
FCB
2 - 3
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
NOV
1 - 3
RCD
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |