CD Castellón vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 1
CAS
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CAS
3 - 0
GRA
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
SAB
0 - 1
CAS
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 1
LLE
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VIJ
1 - 0
CAS
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 0
FIG
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
LOR
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 0
MLL
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 1
LOR
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |