Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 7-4
CD Castellón vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1988 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOL
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
CAS
1 - 1
DEP
55%
27%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
LEV
2 - 1
CAS
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
LEV
1 - 0
OLI
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
VIL
3 - 0
LEV
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
LEV
2 - 1
POL
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
LEV
2 - 1
CAS
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
GRA
0 - 1
LEV
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |