CD Castellón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAS
75%
15%
11%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ALC
4 - 3
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
MLL
5 - 2
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CAS
3 - 1
UDL
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
HER
5 - 0
MLL
72%
16%
13%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
GRA
1 - 2
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
HER
3 - 3
CDB
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
MAL
0 - 1
HER
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |