Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 10-3
CD Castellón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
HER
0 - 2
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ESP
3 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1943 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATM
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
5 - 0
CAS
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
VCF
1 - 2
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
HER
0 - 2
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
CAD
1 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
SDC
4 - 1
HER
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |