CD Castellón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
2 - 4
ATM
9%
16%
75%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
OVI
4 - 4
CAS
86%
8%
6%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 1
SEV
12%
17%
71%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
SEV
5 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 1
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
7 - 2
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 2
DEP
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
FCB
4 - 4
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
CAS
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |