Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-4
CD Castellón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
RSO
7 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CAS
0 - 1
GRA
57%
20%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 0
DEP
45%
22%
34%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 0
RSO
39%
22%
40%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
GRA
3 - 2
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
HER
0 - 5
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OVI
6 - 0
HER
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
HER
3 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
7 - 1
HER
71%
16%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
HER
1 - 0
SEV
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |