Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 4-4
CD Castellón vs CF Gavá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAL
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PXD
0 - 1
CAS
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
PXD
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
REC
2 - 3
CAS
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CF Gavá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
GAV
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GAV
3 - 0
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
GAV
3 - 2
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UES
1 - 1
GAV
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |