Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
CD Castellón vs CF Gavá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAB
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
OVI
1 - 1
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAS
0 - 0
DEP
60%
23%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CF Gavá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
GAV
2 - 1
EUR
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
GIM
1 - 1
GAV
73%
20%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
GAV
5 - 0
OLI
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 0
GAV
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |