Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
CD Castellón vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
CAS
0 - 0
ENS
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
MAL
1 - 2
CAS
58%
26%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAD
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
CAS
3 - 1
REC
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
CUL
2 - 0
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
CUL
4 - 1
SPB
84%
13%
3%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ARO
1 - 1
CUL
18%
32%
49%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
CUL
1 - 1
CDO
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
CUL
4 - 0
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
CUL
2 - 0
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |