Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-2
CD Castellón vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
CAS
1 - 0
OSA
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
CDC
1 - 3
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
RMC
1 - 1
CAS
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CAS
2 - 0
DEP
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
CAS
3 - 0
JOV
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
CDC
1 - 0
CLH
49%
25%
26%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1980 |
CDC
1 - 3
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
CAS
2 - 1
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CDC
3 - 4
BÉJ
50%
26%
24%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
SAL
2 - 1
CDC
70%
20%
11%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |