Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-3
CD Castellón vs CD Burriana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
CDT
1 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
CAS
2 - 2
REC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAS
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CD Burriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
VAL
0 - 1
BUR
44%
28%
29%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
BUR
4 - 2
RAY
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ONT
0 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
BUR
4 - 1
BEN
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |